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	<title>James's Musings &#187; Future</title>
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	<description>James G. Beldock's blog</description>
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		<title>More Truth in Fiction</title>
		<link>http://www.jamesbeldock.com/2008/07/22/more-truth-in-more-fiction/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jamesbeldock.com/2008/07/22/more-truth-in-more-fiction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jul 2008 06:53:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James G. Beldock</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Future]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[international relations]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jamesbeldock.com/?p=67</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Lest my recent trip to the UK return me home without at least a small taste of what has yet to make it across the Atlantic, I picked up a copy of the paperback edition of Robert Harris&#8216;s latest novel, The Ghost: A Novel.  I wasn&#8217;t expecting another episode of popular-fiction-author-predicts-the-possible-near-future, but just as Richard [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lest my recent trip to the UK return me home without at least a small taste of what has yet to make it across the Atlantic, I picked up a copy of the paperback edition of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Harris_(novelist)" target="_blank">Robert Harris</a>&#8216;s latest novel, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1416551816?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=jamsmus-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=1416551816">The Ghost: A Novel</a><img style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=jamsmus-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=1416551816" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="1" />.  I wasn&#8217;t expecting another episode of popular-fiction-author-predicts-the-possible-near-future, but just as Richard Clarke and Michael Chricton struck chords in my pleasure reading about our national security (see <a href="http://www.jamesbeldock.com/2007/02/10/truth-in-fiction/" target="_blank">my post about <em>Breakpoint</em> and <em>Next)</em></a>, so it was a little jarring to read Harris&#8217;s book, which centers around a ghostwriter hired to assist the fictional and recently former prime minister of the UK in the writing of his memoires.  Harris&#8217;s story sets the the strong support this notional PM gave to the <a href="http://www.icc-cpi.int/home.html&amp;l=en" target="_blank">International Criminal Court at The Hague</a>, against its potential <a href="http://www.scribd.com/doc/2275514/Ironic-Tough-New-AntiProstitution-Law-Signed-By-Spizer-In-2007-newsletter-907" target="_blank">Spitzer-esque backfiring</a> on that very same ex-PM when when that indicts him for war crimes conducted during the course of his administration&#8217;s support for America during the war on terrorism.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1416551816?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=jamsmus-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=1416551816"><img style="float: right" src="/images/512KI0WqkcL._SL160_.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></a><img style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=jamsmus-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=1416551816" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="1" /></p>
<p>Think it&#8217;s far-fetched?  Perhaps, but as <a href="http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gMU9_nxHnfBspo342jYG0nXyx7-gD91TMTT80" target="_blank">last week&#8217;s news</a> that the ICC has issued an arrest warrant for Sudanese President Al-Bashir shows, the issue of state sovreignity (especially for senior members of the executive branch) remains very much a paradox for The Hague.  (See <a href="http://www.ejil.org/journal/Vol16/No5/art8.pdf" target="_blank">this on-point but somewhat dry article </a>in the <a href="http://www.ejil.org/" target="_blank">European Journal of International Law</a>.)  While some of us may rest on our first world laurels and be content to watch the ICC indict the Sudanese president and thereby attract the <a href="http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/07/19/africa/ME-Arab-League-Sudan.php" target="_blank">collective disapproval of the Arab League</a> as a result, we shouldn&#8217;t rest too easily:  it&#8217;s not quite so different for Harris&#8217;s retired Prime Minister to see his own name on an ICC arrest warrant—and escape it only by calling upon the US (<em>ex parte</em> to the court and at whose bidding the fictional PM performed his actions) to save his skin.  Is Harris&#8217;s fictional PM simply a thinly veiled portrait of the very real-life Tony Blair, against whom similar <a href="http://www.zpub.com/un/un-tb.html" target="_blank">claims have been made</a>?  You be the judge (or let British journalist Geoffrey Wheatcroft do so for you in <a href="http://www.slate.com/id/2175164/pagenum/all/" target="_blank">his Slate article</a>).  Clever writing indeed.  Let&#8217;s hope it remains fiction.</p>
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		<title>Truth in Fiction</title>
		<link>http://www.jamesbeldock.com/2007/02/10/truth-in-fiction/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jamesbeldock.com/2007/02/10/truth-in-fiction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Feb 2007 20:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James G. Beldock</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jamesbeldock.com/?p=18</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Recently, I&#8217;ve read two books, both cleverly camouflaged as popular novels, which jointly portend a world for which we are simply not prepared. Much as the groundswell of anti-Communist books of the late &#8217;40s and &#8217;50s (Orwell&#8216;s 1984 and Animal Farm perhaps the most memorable, and Huxley&#8216;s more dystopian than anti-Communist Brave New World from [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Recently, I&#8217;ve read two books, both cleverly camouflaged as popular novels, which jointly portend a world for which we are simply not prepared.  Much as the groundswell of anti-Communist books of the late &#8217;40s and &#8217;50s (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Orwell">Orwell</a>&#8216;s <a href="http://www.online-literature.com/orwell/1984/"><span style="font-style: italic">1984</span> </a>and <a href="http://www.online-literature.com/orwell/animalfarm/" style="font-style: italic">Animal Farm</a><span style="font-style: italic"> </span>perhaps the most memorable, and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aldous_Huxley">Huxley</a>&#8216;s more dystopian than anti-Communist<span style="font-style: italic"><span style="font-style: italic"> </span><a href="http://www.huxley.net/">Brave New World</a></span> from a decade and a half prior) reflected the mid-century&#8217;s deeply paranoid zeitgeist, so too these two new novels present deeply thoughtful reflections on what the impact of unbridled 21st century technology.</p>
<p>Both novels come from unlikely sources: <a href="http://www.michaelcrichton.com/">Michael Crichton</a>, the well-known popular novelist of <a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw/102-0072947-0824178?url=search-alias%3Daps&amp;field-keywords=michael+crichton&amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;Go.x=0&amp;Go.y=0&amp;Go=Go">borderline science fiction thrillers </a>and creator of the long-running <a href="http://www.nbc.com/ER/">ER</a>, and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_A._Clarke">Richard A. Clarke</a>, the now-ostracized Clinton and Bush Administration cyberterrorism expert.  Crichton&#8217;s <span style="font-style: italic"><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/redirect.html?ie=UTF8&amp;location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FNext-Michael-Crichton%2Fdp%2F0060872985%2Fsr%3D8-1%2Fqid%3D1171181629%3Fie%3DUTF8%26s%3Dbooks&amp;tag=jamsmus-20&amp;linkCode=ur2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325">Next</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=jamsmus-20&amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;l=ur2&amp;o=1" style="border: medium none  ! important; margin: 0px ! important" border="0" height="1" width="1" /></span> <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0060872985?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=jamsmus-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=0060872985" style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; float: right; cursor: pointer"> <img src="http://www.jamesbeldock.com/images/crichton_next.jpg" border="0" /></a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=jamsmus-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=0060872985" style="border: medium none  ! important; margin: 0px ! important" border="0" height="1" width="1" /> is actually the second of his technology-gone-wild novels, the immediately prior one being <span style="font-style: italic">Prey</span>, which failed for all the reasons <span style="font-style: italic">Next</span> doesn&#8217;t:  where <span style="font-style: italic"><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/redirect.html?ie=UTF8&amp;location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2Fs%3Furl%3Dsearch-alias%253Dstripbooks%26field-keywords%3Dcrichton%2Bprey%26Go.x%3D0%26Go.y%3D0%26Go%3DGo&amp;tag=jamsmus-20&amp;linkCode=ur2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325">Prey</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=jamsmus-20&amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;amp;l=ur2&amp;o=1" style="border: medium none  ! important; margin: 0px ! important" border="0" height="1" width="1" /></span> was really a &#8220;shoot &#8216;em up&#8221; movie stuffed into a novel whose plot centered around a company developing autonomous nanotechnology &#8220;bots,&#8221; <span style="font-style: italic">Next</span> is a collage of multiple plots&#8211;almost devoid of action&#8211;gleefully intertwining one bio-engineered protagonist with another.  <span style="font-style: italic">Next</span> holds together better than one might expect it would without Crichton&#8217;s signature action and adventure:  for all the action sequences in <span style="font-style: italic">Jurassic Park</span> and <span style="font-style: italic">Sphere</span>, Crichton is a thoughtful and well educated man (M.D. from Harvard), and <span style="font-style: italic">Next </span>presents  the dangers of human-created interspecies gene mixes (for example, pets which have glow-in-the-dark genes from fireflies inserted in their DNA; parrots who are smarter than most five-year-old humans) clearly and convincingly.</p>
<p>By contrast,<span style="font-style: italic"><span style="font-style: italic"> </span></span>Richard Clarke&#8217;s <span style="font-style: italic">Breakpoint</span> is a narrowly-focused thriller in the classic &#8220;secret government agency <span style="font-style: italic">v.</span> the world&#8221; genre.<a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0399153780?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=jamsmus-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=0399153780" style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; float: right; cursor: pointer"><img src="http://www.jamesbeldock.com/images/clarke_breakpoint.jpg" border="0" /></a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=jamsmus-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=0399153780" style="border: medium none  ! important; margin: 0px ! important" border="0" height="1" width="1" />  Unlike Crichton, Clarke is a bit clunky when he describes his characters: he just doesn&#8217;t have Crichton&#8217;s twenty years of practice developing a light and almost comic descriptive touch.  But he does a superb job of painting our countries vulnerabilities to cyber attack.  The book opens with simultaneous attacks on seven of the eleven Internet fiber-optic beachheads on the US East Coast.  Not one of them is protected by anything other than a fence.  And in today&#8217;s just-in-time, zero inventory world, nobody has the inventory to replace the millions of dollars in equipment hidden in these utterly unguarded brick beach shacks scattered along the beaches of remote areas.  Or consider the millions of SCADA sensors placed throughout the power grid system, most of which haven&#8217;t seen security upgrades in 15 years.  These are just the beginnings of our vulnerabilities.</p>
<p>Both books are engaging, distracting, and ultimately frightening.  Their intent is to wake us up to a stark reality:  in the next fifteen years, bioengineering and network software will both mature as rapidly as computer technology has over the past twenty years.  We&#8217;re simply not ready for the implications of those evolutions.  The RIAA is still fighting its late &#8217;90s battle with Napster&#8211;and artists like <a href="http://www.mclars.com/">MC Lars</a> are <a href="http://media.nettwerk.com/asx/McLa_DowThSo_Vid.wmv">poking fun at them for still being so far behind</a>.  Our society simply isn&#8217;t ready for the onslaught of ethical and environmental dilemmas.  We&#8217;re still focused on the battles of the past (still debating the ethics of abortion while GM crops are planted without a second thought).</p>
<p>Although I seriously doubt that either Crichton or Clarke will ascend to the <a href="http://books.mirror.org/gb.home.html">literary pantheon</a> the way Orwell did after <span style="font-style: italic">1984</span> (he died a year later), these two modern novelists are no less insightful.  One would expect this from a man like Clarke, who spent enough years in the White House to know that fiction often carries the day over fact, but it is perhaps a bit surprising coming from Crichton, who is certainly smart, but otherwise doesn&#8217;t have a reputation as a serious thinker.  Regardless of their credentials, both Crichton&#8217;s and Clarke&#8217;s books raise issues we have to confront before the technology progresses beyond our ability to cope with its ramifications.</p>
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